Madhav Ranade
(M) 09371002943
sumamura@dataone.in
Shri Madhav Ranade is a technical analyst and also gives advises fo commodity. He is writer of The Economic Revolution.
Comments
just a thought ….. pl ponder over and take yr own decision ……..
if banks will not transmit the recent rate hike to industry and retail ….. RBI has lost the game … as there wl be no effect of rate increase ….. that opens a possibility of certain rate hike of 0.25 % in october and if RBI decides to be vindictive …. may be even 0.5 % …….. just to teach a lesson to banks …. for non compliance ……..
this is how we had last 0.5 % hike …. because the banks which r anyway making huge profits did not pass on the previous rate increase …….
keep in mind banks report to finance ministry … so they hv to follow FMs dictat …. the RBI is independent ….
madhav ranade: RELIANCE ……
yesterday i had written …. no point in rushing and buying ….. when stock was at 853/854 …… it was ready to collapse but last minute shortcovering of intra trades kept it in 850+ territory …..
anyway …. it has given way today and hit a low of 836 …. inline with my stocks intra levels ……
madhav ranade (9/22/2011 9:13:35 AM): good morning !
finally bernanke is alive to reality ….. or is it pressure from GOP …… and market has not got what they were expecting …….
all this means …. we r going to get a haircut …. and a good one at that ……. so DONT BE COMPLACENT that we can do anything and FIIs wl pour money ……
today rupee has opened at 48.80 …. is it shape of things to come ?
i feel …. we can easily go to 50/51 …. with high inflation for over 2 yrs …. this correction was just waiting to happen ……..
so … dont rush to buy ….. buy only if u r convinced about the fundamentals of company ……..
look at http://www.sumamura.com > messages …. i am sure u wl need trading levels today …. as ahelp ……..
madhav ranade (9/22/2011 9:39:14 AM): gold intra levels mailed to all regd members ….. yesterday again we made 30 dollars on short side …. this is serious money ……….
that means in 3 days we hv made about 100 dollars …. 20 on tuesday on long side and and 50 on monday on shortside …….
if u can afford to miss such opportunity …. i dont think so ….. how much savvy trader u may be …..
just think …. and register on http://www.sumamura.com ………
madhav ranade: i told u in the morning …. dont be complacent that FIIs wl keep pouring money at every dip …
we r going to hv immense problems due to rupee depreciation … and that is something which was not foreseen by any analysts uptill now …. our import bill wl baloon …. and that means higher deficit and correspondingly lower rupee value …. its vicious cycle ….
our planners hv believed in unchecked growth of automotive sector …. specifically ignoring mass transport …. and some one has to pay the price …. which we wl do now …..
people r buying two whelers and four wheelers because they can afford it ….. but BECAUSE THEY CAN NOT DO WITHOUT IT .. that is the real situation …
but our troika is patting there own back …. for auto revolution … that is our destiny ….
madhav ranade: yesterday i had said …. what RBI wl do if banks wl not pass on the rate hike …… they wl icrease 0.25 or may be even 0.5 % in oct meet …..infact subbarao must be repenting for not increasing 0.5 % last week only …..
industry and industry bodies cry because their profit margin takes a knock ….. they hv nothing to do with GDP growth or anything like that …
so …. mr subbarao is doing the right thing ….. just imagine if he was to pause 3 months ago …. today inflation wud hv been more than 12 % …… instead of 10 % ….. look at it that way …….
unfortunately … govt is reluctant to take any fiscal measures to contain inflation …. as that might hurt their growth forecast …… SHAME on them …. for such stupid thinking …….
madhav ranade: reliance 785 low ….. cheersssssssssssssss ……
madhav ranade: tcs ….. 986 low ….. great going ……… hope it wl go down to 950 again …….. cheersssssssssssssss ……
madhav ranade: bought today …… bhel / LT / godrej ind / hindalco …….
madhav ranade: huge 700+ point cut ….. we deserved it …. and got it ……..
cheerssssssssssssss ……..
madhav ranade: all MF advisors …. and i mean all …. absolutely complacent about 15 % CAGR over next 15/20 yrs …..
when history is not over 10 yrs ……
taking people for a ride ………
madhav ranade: reliance did get into intra long …. as expected and did T2 on long side as well ….
while doing so it has pulled nifty into long area …… lets watch how nifty performs now ….
all above r intra trades only …….
madhav ranade: bank nifty is sulking in the ’sell zone ‘ …… this means nifty may not hv great strength on the upside …. till bank nifty gets into its own ……….
nevertheless …. some silver lining for beleaguered bulls …….
MKUMAR manoj2 (9/23/2011 10:34:43 AM): 4956 ave nf to dobbule short
MKUMAR manoj2 (9/23/2011 10:36:23 AM): 4900 se on bord
http://www.miracletraders.net vidya: btst: buy/hold 4800 put tgt nf level 4791+4691.
madhav ranade (9/27/2011 9:48:25 AM): our market is trading just about OK …… i expected bulls having come out of hibernation to make some show of strength ….. but that has not happened ….
we r strictly mimicking global cues …. and that does not augur well ….. i think so ………
madhav ranade (9/27/2011 9:55:36 AM): gold intra levels …. just posted …. u shud be getting email anytime …….
madhav ranade (9/27/2011 9:58:24 AM): stocks intra …. some individual stocks hv triggered intra shorts and now ready for trade ……..
hv a look at http://www.sumamura.com > messages tab
cheersssssssssssssssss ……
madhav ranade: good morning !
looks like we wl try to hold above 5000 … as per preopening rates …. lets see what happens whether we can hold on to it or not ……..
infy seems to open very high …. may be it wl not sustain ……. lets see ……
madhav ranade: gold …. intra levels gone to paid members …….. wl be posted on messages tab … later in the day …. when anyone can see ……..
madhav ranade: ICICI bank …. was given for intra short below 892 target 874 ….. look at days high /low …… exact ……….
cheerssssssssssssssssssssss …….
madhav ranade: infy has done all long targets ….. it was given long above 2473 with final target of 2512 …. since that is crossed …. now u shud trail with final sl of 2512 …… keep trailing by 13 rs ………
MKUMAR manoj2: 4980 na par kare to 4940 4880 4820 possible
nifty 4980 par kare toj 5020 5040 ave
manojkhatri
indiamcx Technical Analyst: N - Navchetna
A - Akhand Jyoti
V - Vighan Nashini
R - Rat jageshwari
A - Anand Dayni
T - Trikal Darshi
R - Rakshan Karti
I - Indrayani
Happy Navratri 2 All…………!
~~Jai Mata Di~~&~~Jai Shri Ram~~
TCS … some shorting calls emerging at CMP 1050/60 for target of 1040 …..
i wl look at my levels only which r given on http://www.sumamura.com > messages tab ……
madhav ranade: Hitesg Jain: what might happen to chidambaram in sc your take
madhav ranade: i think …. in the current mood of courts …….
permission wl be given to interrogate chiddu …. and he wl hv to leave cabinet ……
Hitesg Jain: i think sc i.e.sonia’s court will save hime for the time being
madhav ranade: i think the solid evidence is stacked against him ……
Hitesg Jain is typing…
Hitesg Jain: let us hope better sense prevail upon our ruling class
madhav ranade: europe is improving and dow is now flat from earlier negative ….
so we r trying to recoup some losses on nifty ……..
madhav ranade: good morning !
a gap down opening …. pre-opening is suggesting about 70 odd points ……
but anything beyond that …. we wl go down further ………
my levels wl guide u …..
my monthly levels r posted for nifty / sensex / several stocks / DJI / S&P / gold / silver crude …. etc etc …….
these allow u to trade with little more certainty ……….
gone only to paid subscribers …….
madhav ranade
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IM Tue Oct 04 10:18 AM
madhav ranade (Tue Oct 04 10:18 AM): tata motors …… today given short below 154 …. target 148 ….. trading low 147.4 …..
cheersssssss … all the way ………
madhav ranade (Tue Oct 04 10:23 AM): bajaj corp …. wl move to 95 ….. keep in mind …..
madhav ranade (10/5/2011 9:15:15 AM): good morning !
yesterday was a washout after moodys downgraded SBI ….. may be we wl see a small bounce today …. my nifty intra levels are posted on http://www.sumamura.com > messages tab …….
stocks intra levels …. posted only for paid clients ……. let them make money on bank nifty a nd others like sbi / icic / tatamotors etc …. finally they hv paid for it …….
watch coal india above 324 on long side with sl of 322 … and vice versa ….
cheerssssssssssssss …..
madhav ranade: wait for few mins more before initiating even intra trades …… we wl hv a big move coming soon ….. so try to catch when the move starts ……..
HDFC BANK vs SBI ….. look at P/BV 3 :1
this is simply not sustainable ….. SBI has a chance to move up by about 10/15 % in short term and HDFCbank ….. wl hv to come down by 8/10 % then the ratio wl become 2.5/ 2.7 ….. which was prevailing before …….around 2/2.2
so i am more worried about HDFC bank …….. than SBI at this stage …….
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madhav ranade (25 Nov 9:23): if reliance and bharti … two big cos who hv interests in retail ….. r not rejoicing ….. indicates that nothing is likely to happen in near future and operators wl hv tough time holding pantaloon up ….. so … either stay away or take shorts …. but dont go long ……… on pantaloon ……
madhav ranade: good morning !
we r going thru forced moves …. tks to global cues and our govts ‘EFFICIENCY’ …..
we hv to trade levels …. that is the only way to trade ….
many stocks hv hit nadir valuations …. but even then they r sliding further …. which is probably due to some remption pressure faced by MFs…..
let us see how we trade today ……
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madhav ranade (1/24/2012 9:41:22 AM): maruti …. given for shorting below 1160 … sl 1168 ….. gave a low of 1143 odd ….
must be only short call on maruti …. everybody else is recommending long ………
cheerssssssssss ……..
madhav ranade: nifty spot intra ……
we had a great intra entry at 5137/40 level and then a 25 point gain ….. that is the beauty of my trading levels …….
cheersssssssssss …. to paid subscribers ……..